08 September 2007

Cost of Capital Loss

Capital:

$10,000













Trade(s)

$7,500

$9,000

Difference

1

$7,875.00

$9,450.00

$1,575.00

2

$8,268.75

$9,922.50

$1,653.75

3

$8,682.19

$10,418.63

$1,736.44

4

$9,116.30

$10,939.56

$1,823.26

5

$9,572.11

$11,486.53

$1,914.42

6

$10,050.72

$12,060.86

$2,010.14

7

$10,553.25

$12,663.90

$2,110.65

8

$11,080.92

$13,297.10

$2,216.18

9

$11,634.96

$13,961.95

$2,326.99

10

$12,216.71

$14,660.05

$2,443.34


Description

Capital of $10,000. One practice cut loss target of 10%, the other only force cut loss at 25%. (Force cut loss is because you are forced to cut loss because your emotion cannot take the falling of your counter's price). The difference loss of capital is $9,000 - $7,500 = $1,500. The table above shows how critical is this $1,500 difference.

Let says after a bad trade you begin to consistently earn 5% from subsequent trades, it takes 6 trades to regain the capital for the higher capital loss compared to 3 trades of the lower capital loss.

Let say no consecutive winning streak. Below is table for 2 bad trades, the third trade suffers another loss (one continue to practice 10% cut loss and the other at 25% force cut loss).

Capital: $10,000





Trade(s) $7,500 $9,000 Difference
1 $7,875.00 $9,450.00 $1,575.00
2 $8,268.75 $9,922.50 $1,653.75
3 $6,201.56 $8,930.25 $2,728.69
4 $6,511.64 $9,376.76 $2,865.12
5 $6,837.22 $9,845.60 $3,008.38
6 $7,179.08 $10,337.88 $3,158.80
7 $7,538.04 $10,854.77 $3,316.74
8 $7,914.94 $11,397.51 $3,482.57
9 $8,310.69 $11,967.39 $3,656.70
10 $8,726.22 $12,565.76 $3,839.54
11 $9,162.53 $13,194.05 $4,031.51
12 $9,620.66 $13,853.75 $4,233.09
13 $10,101.69 $14,546.44 $4,444.74


You only able to break even after 10 consecutive 5% gains trades for 25% force cut loss trader but only takes 3 trades to break even for the trader who practice 10% cut loss.

Moreover, for 3 bad trades in 10 trades case, 20 trades to break even if you continue to force cut loss at 25%. So, what if more than that? It takes you ages to get back what you have lost just because you do not have cut loss price.

House Number


01 AmFraser
05 UOB KH
08 CS
12 Lim&Tan
17 CIMB-GK
20 Philip
21 KimEng
25 Daiwa
26 BNP
28 OCBC
29 DBSV
31 DMG
35 SBI E2
36 Fortis Clearing
37 Lehman Brothers
39 Instinet Singapore
43 OCBC
70 CLSA
71 Nomura
72 Daiwa
73 Macquarie
77 ABN
78 Merrill Lynch
79 JPM
82 MS
83 Citigroup
84 UBS
86 DBSV Online
87 Westcomb
Thanks ccloh for providing my long lost house number list

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